Political Influence and Trade Uncertainty: Evidence from Sanction Threats and Impositions

Title: Political Influence and Trade Uncertainty: Evidence from Sanction Threats and Impositions
Format: Journal Article
Publication Date: 2018
Published In: Economics Bulletin
Description:

Abstract: This paper examines how uncertainty arising from sanction threats impacts international trade. By separately examining the threat stages of sanctions to the actual imposition of sanctions, we distinguish the impact of political uncertainty on trade from that of actual trade disruption. We find that US sanction threats significantly reduce US bilateral trade with target countries. The effect is larger when the target is a nondemocratic state and when sanctions are politically motivated.

Ivan Allen College Contributors:
External Contributors: Yong Suk Lee
Citation:

Seung Hoon Lee & Yong Suk Lee, 2018. "Political Influence and Trade Uncertainty: Evidence from Sanction Threats and Impositions," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(1), pages 367-372.

Related Departments:
  • School of Economics